少妇无码精品23p_亚洲一区无码电影在线观看网站 _悠悠色一区二区_中文字幕亚洲无码第36页

 

Is Chinese economy sliding into dangerous position?

0 Comment(s)Print E-mail Xinhua, September 23, 2012
Adjust font size:

In the past few weeks, there has been growing debate at home and abroad about China and its economic growth, with rhetoric speculating about an imminent economic blowout in the world's second-largest economy.

It's interesting to observe the difference between what pessimists predict about China's economy and what's actually going on in the country. In the eyes of bearish economists, China seems to be the worst-performing economy and is in trouble with nightmares to come, but in fact, it is still the fastest-growing economy among the Group-of-20 members, with an economic growth rate of 7.8 percent in the first half of this year.

Such a divergence of perception comes at a time when the Communist Party of China is facing up to a number of other sensitive issues to prepare for its 18th National Congress.

Naysayers may find some support for their argument in the latest macro economic figures released by Chinese officials on investment, consumption and export in August, with these suggesting economic downward pressure is increasing in the third quarter.

Other indicators, such as the manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index and electricity consumption, also indicate China's economy is suffering a downturn due to slack external and domestic demand, making pessimists worry about whether the country can meet its annual economic growth target of 7.5 percent this year.

As a result, foreign and Chinese investment banks including Goldman Sachs, Barclays Bank, Morgan Stanley, ABN Amro Bank, Macquarie and China International Capital Corporation Limited have lowered their prediction of China's economic growth this year.

Jim O'Neil, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, and the economic expert who came up with the term "BRIC" to represent the four fast-growing economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China, argued last month that the slowdown in developing behemoths like China and the rest of the BRIC bloc is more worrying than the eurozone crisis.

Is China's economy really sliding into a dangerous zone or so-called "hard landing" as some forecast?

Presumably, such a pessimistic prediction is based on two cyclical and structural issues.

First, external demand for Chinese goods, which is closely linked to world economic cycles, will be further crippled by the ongoing eurozone debt crisis and the fragile economic recovery in developed countries, particularly with the United States facing its so-called "fiscal cliff" at this year end, driven up by its deficit-reduction measures.

The second assumption posits that China's domestic demand will shrink further in a dip lasting for quite a while due to the country's economic transition, with limited room for policymakers to take bold measures to stimulate the economy.

As the U.S. Federal Reserve announced a third round of quantitative easing this month, while a verdict handed down by German Constitutional Court cleared uncertainty surrounding the launch of the European Stability Mechanism, external risks facing China are expected to stabilize, which will falsify the first hypothesis for China's "hard landing."

Indeed, China's economy is going through a tough time now following an average of almost two-digit annual growth over the past three decades, with its economic rise slowing for nine consecutive quarters after its GDP growth spiked to 11.9 percent in the first quarter of 2010.

Nonetheless, it is rash to conclude that China's economy is in deep recession henceforth.

Compared with other major economies, China's 7.6-percent GDP growth in the second quarter is enviable, even if its economic growth slows to between 7.0 percent and 7.5 percent in the third quarter, given its size as the world's second-largest economy.

The current slowdown in China is cyclical on one hand, over falling external demand from Europe and the United States, as well as the global economic downturn, but structural on the other, as the Chinese government tightened regulation of the property sector and initiated other measures to rebalance its economy.

Yet, China has more firepower in its policy ammunition to spur up economic growth than European countries and the United States.

The more pivotal question now is how the Chinese government can maintain a balance between stabilizing short-term growth and leaving room for sustainable and more healthy development in the long run after policymakers took measures to boost foreign trade and approved massive infrastructure investment plans worth more than 1 trillion yuan (158 billion U.S. dollars).

Besides, the Chinese government is aiming to increase domestic retail sales by 15 percent annually to reach 32 trillion yuan by 2015.

The above measures are expected to stabilize China's investment, export and consumption, thus making the second forecast unrealistic.

As the world continues to struggle through a global financial crisis that began in 2008, there is no need to fuss about an economic slowdown in China, where the light can be seen at the end of the dark tunnel. What we need now is just a little more confidence and patience.

Print E-mail Bookmark and Share

Go to Forum >>0 Comment(s)

No comments.

Add your comments...

  • User Name Required
  • Your Comment
  • Enter the words you see:   
    Racist, abusive and off-topic comments may be removed by the moderator.
Send your storiesGet more from China.org.cnMobileRSSNewsletter
免费一级片在线观看| 你懂的在线观看视频| 精品久久久久久中文字幕一区 | 国产伦久视频免费观看 视频| 国产美女在线一区二区三区| 欧美激情在线精品video| 欧美日本韩国| 国产不卡在线播放| 美女免费黄网站| 中文字幕97| 成人影视在线播放| 免费国产在线观看不卡| 亚欧乱色一区二区三区| 好男人天堂网 久久精品国产这里是免费 国产精品成人一区二区 男人天堂网2021 男人的天堂在线观看 丁香六月综合激情 | 欧美激情在线精品video| 精品国产香蕉伊思人在线又爽又黄| 久久成人综合网| 久久久久久久网| 欧美电影免费| 国产伦精品一区二区三区在线观看| 精品国产一区二区三区久 | 精品视频一区二区三区| 精品国产香蕉在线播出| 91麻豆精品国产自产在线| 国产网站麻豆精品视频| 国产国语在线播放视频| 91麻豆精品国产综合久久久| 亚洲第一色在线| 日韩中文字幕在线亚洲一区| 麻豆网站在线免费观看| 日日夜人人澡人人澡人人看免| 久久99中文字幕久久| 成人影院一区二区三区| 一 级 黄 中国色 片| 久久精品欧美一区二区| 麻豆网站在线免费观看| 亚洲第一页色| 成人免费网站视频ww| 久久国产一区二区| 久久精品店| 国产麻豆精品hdvideoss| 国产视频久久久久| 精品国产一区二区三区久 | 国产伦久视频免费观看 视频| 国产一区二区精品| a级毛片免费观看网站| 欧美激情一区二区三区中文字幕| 亚洲精品永久一区| 欧美a级大片| 久久国产精品自线拍免费| 免费的黄视频| 精品国产一区二区三区精东影业 | 日本在线www| 免费国产一级特黄aa大片在线| 国产网站麻豆精品视频| 精品国产一区二区三区精东影业 | 欧美激情一区二区三区视频| 天天色成人| 免费国产一级特黄aa大片在线| 国产不卡精品一区二区三区| 欧美激情一区二区三区视频高清| 日韩中文字幕在线亚洲一区| 欧美a级片免费看| 精品国产亚洲人成在线| 久久国产精品永久免费网站| 日日日夜夜操| 久久福利影视| 免费一级片在线| 欧美日本韩国| 天天做人人爱夜夜爽2020 | 四虎久久影院| 国产不卡福利| 精品久久久久久中文字幕一区 | 91麻豆国产级在线| 久久福利影视| 成人免费高清视频| 国产一区二区精品久久91| 成人免费福利片在线观看| 999久久66久6只有精品| 精品视频一区二区三区免费| 国产极品精频在线观看| 欧美a级大片| 国产精品自拍亚洲| 你懂的在线观看视频| 欧美国产日韩久久久| 欧美1区| 四虎久久影院| 国产韩国精品一区二区三区| 欧美激情一区二区三区在线 | 日本特黄特黄aaaaa大片| 国产国语对白一级毛片| 成人a大片高清在线观看| 日韩男人天堂| 可以免费在线看黄的网站| 欧美激情一区二区三区在线 | 韩国三级视频网站| 国产成人啪精品| 成人免费观看视频| 日韩av成人| 国产极品精频在线观看| 四虎影视库| 日日日夜夜操| 国产伦精品一区二区三区无广告 | 国产高清视频免费| 亚欧乱色一区二区三区| 91麻豆精品国产自产在线观看一区| 日韩男人天堂| 国产美女在线一区二区三区| 韩国三级视频网站| 日韩一级黄色片| 国产不卡福利| 国产一区二区精品久久| 精品久久久久久中文| 香蕉视频一级| 精品久久久久久中文字幕一区| 免费的黄视频| 久久精品道一区二区三区| 欧美激情伊人| 日韩av片免费播放| 久久成人亚洲| 国产精品1024永久免费视频| 韩国三级视频网站| 九九精品久久| 91麻豆国产| 99色视频在线观看| 精品视频在线观看免费| 久草免费在线视频| 黄色短视频网站| 精品在线观看一区| 国产成人精品影视| 韩国毛片 免费| 99久久精品国产麻豆| 国产极品精频在线观看| 欧美国产日韩一区二区三区| 麻豆网站在线免费观看| 91麻豆高清国产在线播放| 韩国妈妈的朋友在线播放| 久久国产精品只做精品| 韩国三级视频网站| 久久久久久久免费视频| 91麻豆tv| 中文字幕Aⅴ资源网| 亚欧成人乱码一区二区| 九九精品在线播放| 国产一级生活片| 中文字幕一区二区三区精彩视频 | 精品视频免费在线| 国产伦理精品| 亚洲 激情| 午夜激情视频在线观看| 好男人天堂网 久久精品国产这里是免费 国产精品成人一区二区 男人天堂网2021 男人的天堂在线观看 丁香六月综合激情 | 国产成人精品综合| 成人影视在线观看| 精品久久久久久中文| 国产原创中文字幕| 国产成人精品影视| 欧美电影免费看大全| 一级毛片看真人在线视频| 高清一级片| 天天色成人| 91麻豆精品国产综合久久久| 成人免费一级毛片在线播放视频| 精品国产香蕉伊思人在线又爽又黄| 日韩av成人| 国产一级强片在线观看| 国产高清在线精品一区二区| 亚洲 欧美 91| 午夜在线亚洲| 国产网站在线| 国产亚洲免费观看| 美女被草网站| 精品国产一区二区三区久| 国产麻豆精品| 国产成+人+综合+亚洲不卡| 99色播| 一本伊大人香蕉高清在线观看| 九九免费高清在线观看视频| 亚洲精品永久一区| 成人免费观看视频| 999精品视频在线| 国产不卡高清| 国产一区二区精品尤物| 99久久精品国产免费| 国产麻豆精品hdvideoss| 国产精品自拍一区| 亚洲 欧美 91| 成人高清免费| 欧美1区| 久久精品免视看国产成人2021| 99久久精品国产麻豆| 四虎影视精品永久免费网站 | 国产伦久视频免费观看 视频| 99热精品在线| 高清一级毛片一本到免费观看| 一级毛片视频在线观看| 免费一级片在线观看| 欧美爱爱网| 99久久精品国产高清一区二区| 四虎影视精品永久免费网站 | 日韩在线观看免费完整版视频|